Jan 12 - 2017,The margin between President Nana Akufo-Addo and former president John Mahama in the 2016 elections now stands at 984,570 votes...." ..

LIVE: Best Ghana Radio Stations - Listen to * Adom FM, 3 FM Ghana, * Happy FM, * Radio Gold, * YFM Ghana, * Time FM Ghana, * Class FM Ghana or * Citi FM Ghana.... See Ghana Radio Link... ! ***** ghanaelection2016.ghanaweb-news.com will continue till January 12, 2017. From Jan 13, please see latest news updates at Ghanaweb-News.com (Home Page)*****
 
Source: myjoyonline. com - Joy News has projected NPP presidential candidate Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo as the likely winner of the 2016 presidential elections.

It is almost statistically impossible for President John Mahama to obtain 50% plus one required to win the presidential ballot.
Picture
Out of an estimated 10million votes, the winner needs 5,272,633 votes to win.

NPP candidate Akufo-Addo has 4,213,710 and needs 1,117,663 votes to cross the mark.

The NDC candidate and incumbent John Mahama has 3,710,702 votes from 206 constituencies provisionally declared.

With 69 constituencies left, 21 of which are in the NPP stronghold of the Ashanti and Eastern regions, John Mahama is unlikely to garner 1,561,931 votes to overturn the result.

There are 69 constituencies to go with a registered voter population of 3,827,081

At the current average turn-out of 68%, this translates into 2,652,483 votes

The current Provisional valid votes cast is 7,988,676

When added to the expected number of votes from the 69 constituencies, this comes to 10,545,267 votes

Therefore, 50%+1 comes to 5,272,633

At 206 constituencies, JM is at 3,710,702 votes

For JM to reach 5.3m he needs 1,598,355 votes

On average he is capturing 46% of the provisional valid votes.

Assuming JM does 10% better than his current 46% he has done across the remaining 69 undeclared constituencies, he will achieve an additional 1,412,346 which is below 1,598,355 required to make 50%+1

NANA

There are 69 constituencies to go with a registered voter population of 3,827,081

At the current average turn-out of 68%, this translates into 2,652,483 votes

The current Provisional valid votes cast is 7,988,676

When added to the expected number of votes from the 69 constituencies, this comes to 10,545,267 votes

Therefore, 50%+1 comes to 5,272,633

At 206 constituencies, Nana is at 4,213,710 votes

For Nana to reach 5.3m he needs 1,117,663 votes

Assuming Nana does 10% lower than his current 52.17% he has done across the remaining 69 undeclared constituencies, he will achieve additional 1,210,716 which is 93,053 more than 50%+1

We therefore project it is almost statistically impossible for JM to achieve 50% + 1. Our projection is that Nana Akufo-Addo will win the 2016 presidential election.


 


Comments


Your comment will be posted after it is approved.


Leave a Reply




    GhanaWeb-News.com

    All Ghana Party News, related to the General Elections 2016, in Ghana, CPP, NDC, PPP, NPP, and other parties of Ghana.

    GTV Live, Ghaa TV Live, Ghana TV Online, Ghana TV FREE
    GTV Live (FREE)

    Election Radio Ghana Live


    Latest Results

    Categories

    All
    CPP Party Ghana
    Ec Ghana News
    Gcpp Ghana Party
    General News
    Gfp Ghana Party
    Ndc Ghana Party
    Ndp Ghana Party
    Npp Ghana Party
    Pnc Ghana Party
    Ppp Ghana Party
    Ufp Ghana Party




    Archives

    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015


    All Latest Ghana News - HERE